Quirin Speed Points are valuable tools to hinder horse racing because they know where horses might try to run, but they are also still misunderstood, even though they have been around for some time now. There is no doubt that initial speed plays an important role in many races.
Looking at track models for many tracks, initial speed is one of the most significant factors. There are several reasons for this. First of all, a horse that runs at the front end can determine the speed and control of the race. This means that he runs at the speed he chooses so he can calmly and race comfortably.
Second, a horse near the front or at the front end has fewer horses in front of it to block it. Racing problems, having to take or check or change lanes, can cost a very valuable and meaningful difference between winning or losing. The horse in front can also choose the part of the track they are running, or rather the jockey can direct the horse to the path that the jockey thinks is the best path. Usually on the rails so the horse covers the shortest distance to the finish line. When a track dies due to rain or other weather events, a jockey who has noticed and knows which part of the track is playing the fastest can direct the horse to that track as well.
Using speed points to find out which horse will try to lead is a good idea, but be careful, a horse with the highest speed points doesn’t have to be a horse that can cover the first part of the fastest race. As I said, the speed points indicate running style, in other words, the horse’s preference for which part of the package likes to walk. This is not an indication of raw speed.
A horse with 8, the highest rank, is a horse that always goes ahead in the latest races. A horse with 7 usually goes forwards or close to the front. A horse with 6 usually tries to get to the front and so on to 0 which is a horse that has not only ever tried to get ahead, but doesn’t even race in the first half of the initial field of a race.
So suppose you have a horse with 8 that runs in lower class races against softer competition and you have a horse with 6 who runs against several types very quickly in higher classes, a horse with 8 might try for the front one, but a horse with 6 actually might be faster and lead. If that happens, a horse with 8 can escape by trying to run against a harder horse.
I look at speed points and then calculate the speed or real ability of each animal before I make a final decision about speed. I find speed points very useful for determining what a horse is trying to do or what a jockey can do with a horse, but I also look closely at fractions and speed figures.
The one-point speed point that is still very prominent is in isolating a single speed in a race. This is still a big angle of difficulty even though it is difficult to get good opportunities at runners like that because the community is wise for this angle. A better way to determine the true value is to use several factors and produce a horse that is fit and ready to use a system such as True Handicapping that uses a combination of factors rather than relying on initial speed alone.
The most consistent horse racing system must have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been traveling horse races for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest will be of no use. If you want to learn how a horse owner and disabled person go, go to What’s a Willie and get the truth.